Page 8 - CMA Journal (Mar-Apr 2023)
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E x c lus iv e  I nt er v iew


                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ine ciency of this sector and improve the quality of
                                                                     policy to lower in ation while also ensuring a  exible                                                                                          public service provision to the private sector.
                                                                     exchange rate to bu er shocks and rebuild reserves.
                      Looking ahead, the authorities                 Looking ahead, the authorities have also expressed                                                                                             Establishing a competitive and level playing  eld
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     with strong public sector governance, free of
                     have also expressed interest in a               interest  in  a  successor medium-term Fund-supported                                                                                           preferential treatment, to further encourage private
                                                                     program, permanently resolving Pakistan’s  scal and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     savings and private investment.
                          successor medium-term                      external sustainability weaknesses and  laying  the                                                                                            Allowing a fully- exible exchange rate that promotes
                                                                     foundation for strong, sustainable, and inclusive growth.
                         Fund-supported program,                     The IMF could support a program which cements                                                                                                   export-oriented activities, and broadening reforms to
                                                                     credibility through sound policy making and robustly
                     permanently resolving Pakistan’s                tackles long-standing structural challenges.                                                                                                    reduce energy sector costs while also allowing a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     reduction in tari s for businesses.
                      scal and external sustainability               ICMA:  Do  you  think  FBR  restructuring  is  vital  for                                                                                    ICMA: What new measures the Pakistani policymakers
                                                                     boosting the tax revenues?
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  must take to enhance the competitiveness of the
                         weaknesses and laying the                   Esther Perez Ruiz: Pakistan needs to signi cantly                                                                                            economy?
                            foundation for strong,                   mobilize revenues to create resources for much needed                                                                                        Esther Perez Ruiz: Exports as a share of GDP have fallen
                                                                                                spending,
                                                                                                           strengthen
                                                                     social
                                                                                  development
                                                                            and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  markedly over the past two decades. Boosting export
                    sustainable, and inclusive growth                sustainability,  and  reduce overreliance  on  external                                                                                      competitiveness is essential to reducing external
                                                                      nancing. Overall, it is essential for Pakistan to increase                                                                                  vulnerabilities, reversing Pakistan’s productivity decline,
                                                                     the progressivity,  simplicity, and  fairness of  the tax                                                                                    and increasing its growth potential. In addition to the
                                                                     system so that those who can a ord it contribute their                                                                                       policies already discussed, the agenda requires reducing
                   In addition to supporting sound policy making, the IMF   fair share. This requires e orts on both tax policy (e.g.,                          Consistent sound policy making and strong ownership of   any anti-export bias by implementing the national tari
                                                                                                                                                                long-delayed  reforms can enable Pakistan to protect
                   supports Pakistan by building technical capacity in   increasing taxation of agriculture and property) and                                   macroeconomic stability and bolster growth, access the   policy and gradually reducing import duties in Pakistan
                   public institutions. During the caretaker period, we   revenue administration. Strengthening the FBR and its                                  nancing from external partners, and eventually return   which, averaging 20 percent, remain amongst the
                   have been working closely with the authorities and   governance  is  critical to  achieving  these  goals.  We                                                                                 highest in the world and directly harm exporters by
                   collaborating with other international organizations   welcome the focus on digitalization to e ectively expand                              to the market. The Pakistani authorities can develop such   incentivizing import substitution.
                   and   development   partners  on  key   capacity  the tax base. Similarly, building a culture for enhanced                                   a program, with key e orts that include (i) strengthening
                   development initiatives to durably raise revenue and   transparency, accountability  and separation of the tax                               public  nances and broadening the tax base (including   The modernization of export promotion schemes is also
                   improve the quality of spending to tackle social and   collections and policy functions, as intended by the                                  to undertaxed sectors) to make the tax system simpler,   necessary to reduce reliance on unconditional subsidies
                   climate-related challenges.                       restructuring plan under consideration, are steps in the                                   fairer and more e cient; (ii) restoring the energy sector’s   (e.g., Export Finance Scheme and the Drawback of Local
                                                                     right direction.                                                                           viability by accelerating cost reducing reforms which   Taxes and Levies). These schemes have proved costly for
                   ICMA:  How do you see the current economic        ICMA:  Pakistan’s  Debt  service  requirements  is                                         should allow CD-neutral tari s to decline; (iii) monetary   taxpayers  and  with  limited  impact  on  exports.  In  this
                   situation in Pakistan, especially the key challenges   estimated at US$25 billion in 2023–24. Do you think                                   policy aimed at returning in ation to target, with a   vein, we welcome the authorities’ recent actions to phase
                   facing the economy?                               debt rescheduling is the only option left for the                                           exible FX market supporting external rebalancing and   out SBP’s involvement in the re nancing schemes and
                   Esther Perez Ruiz: Pakistan’s economic and  nancial   Government?                                                                            the rebuilding of foreign reserves; and (iv) establishing an   task the Ex-Im Bank with allocating subsidized lending
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  schemes against budget resources in a fairer and more
                                                                                                                                                                environment  conducive  to  private-led activity  through
 ICMA:  Please brie y share the contribution of the   mobilized properly, they can contribute to higher living   position  has strengthened over the course of  this   scal   Esther Perez Ruiz:  It  all  depends  on the  authorities’   the removal of distortionary protection, advancement of   transparent manner.
 IMF in supporting Pakistan on economic policies   standards (per capita income).      year, with gradual  disin ation underway and external   taking policy and reform actions commensurate with
 and reforms?      pressures easing on the back of prudent policy    addressing Pakistan’s economic imbalances.                                                 SOE reforms to improve the sector’s performance, and   ICMA: Any special message to our readers, especially
 The recent period of Pakistan’s 2023 Stand-by   management  and  the  resumption  of  in ows  from                                                             the scaling-up of investment in human capital.    professional accountants?
 Esther Perez Ruiz: Let me start by thanking ICMA   Arrangement (SBA) shows some of the bene ts of sound   multilateral and  bilateral  partners.  However,  sustained   ICMA: How Pakistan can become a self-reliant country
 International for the opportunity to o er, on behalf of the   policy making supported by a Fund-supported program.   reform e orts are needed to address Pakistan’s   so that it can reduce its dependence on foreign loans?  Esther Perez Ruiz: With a large domestic market, young
 IMF, our perspective on Pakistan’s present economic   After a period of economic turbulence in FY2023   deep-seated economic vulnerabilities amidst the ongoing                                                  labor force, an entrepreneurial orientation, a privileged
 situation and potential opportunities.   stemming from a di cult external environment and   challenges posed by elevated external and domestic   Consistent implementation of   Esther Perez Ruiz: The policy and reform areas already   location, and extensive donor support and market
 policy slippages, the caretaker government and State                                                                                                           discussed are central to reducing reliance on foreign   access, Pakistan has the potential to become a dynamic,
 The IMF is here to help support Pakistan’s e orts to   Bank of Pakistan have brought about a renewed sense of    nancing needs and an unsettled external environment.  sound policies should ultimately   loans, but also making the foreign loans more productive   emerging market economy.  To unleash this potential,
 realize its potential through sound economic policies and   economic stability. Over the past few months, Pakistan’s   To cement the stability established over the past 9   and  a ordable. Consistent  implementation  of  sound   there is a need for sustained and consistent
 reforms. These are needed to reduce Pakistan’s structural   economic and  nancial position has improved with   months, consistent sound policy making needs to   lead to higher public and private   policies should ultimately lead to higher public and   implementation of good policies oriented to maintaining
 vulnerabilities that make it susceptible to high economic   growth and con dence gradually recovering on the back   continue. In this vein, the authorities are determined to   private sector savings but also attract foreign  nancing   macroeconomic stability and putting in place the
 volatility and low growth. Our partnership with the   of prudent  scal management with due protection of the   deliver the FY24 general government primary  balance   sector savings but also attract   for productive investments at lower cost that can foster   conditions for private-led growth. In this respect,
 government seeks to create an environment to   social safety net, a monetary stance geared toward   target of 0.4 percent of GDP, continue e orts towards      private-led growth and the build-up of reserves. Key   stronger focus on good governance, transparency, and
 strengthen private sector activity and create investment   lowering in ation and pursuing exchange rate  exibility   broadening the tax base, and implement timely power   foreign  nancing for productive   policy goals in this regard include:  the institutional environment that respects the rule of
 and job opportunities, as well as to mobilize resources for   and transparent FX market operations, and the timely   and gas tari  adjustments so that there is no   investments at lower cost that can          law are critical for economic stability and growth.
 critical social and development spending to make   adjustment of power and gas tari s to shore up energy   accumulation of circular debt (CD) in FY24, while the     Reducing the crowding out of private investment by   Professional accountants have a particular important role
 concrete progress toward the Sustainability and   sector viability while protecting the vulnerable through   vulnerable are protected through the progressive tari    foster private-led growth and the   the government by creating  scal surpluses,   to play in this respect.
 Development Goals. For example, Pakistan’s young labor   progressive  tari   structures.  Continuing  these  policies   structure applied to energy. The State Bank of Pakistan   supported by broader and fairer tax revenue.   The Editorial Board thanks  Ms. Esther Perez  Ruiz, IMF Resident
 force  is  an  unrealized  strength  given  high  with deeper structural reforms will help Pakistan move   remains committed to maintaining a prudent monetary   build-up of reserves  Improving the quality of public investment and SOE   Representative in Pakistan for sparing from her precious time to give
 unemployment, informality and economic volatility. If   from stabilization to stronger more inclusive growth.                                                     reforms will reduce the  scal cost of the existing   exclusive interview for Chartered Management Accountant Journal.

                    6    ICMA’s Chartered Management Accountant, Mar-Apr 2024
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