Page 56 - CMA Journal (Sep-Oct 2025)
P. 56

Focus Section



             Sectoral Impact and Export Diversification under the National Tariff Policy (NTP) 2025–30

              Sector        Key Policy Impact (Under NTP 2025–30) Expected Outcome on Exports  Diversification Opportunities

              Textiles &    Duty-free import  of raw materials  Lower  production  costs,  Move beyond cotton-based goods to
              Apparel       (cotton, polyester, dyes);  reduction of  improved competitiveness, and  technical textiles, sportswear, home
                            ACDs/RDs on machinery and chemicals   higher export volumes   textiles, and blended fabrics
              Engineering   Simplified 4-slab tariff structure (0–15%)  Encourages local manufacturing  Diversify into precision tools, EV
              Goods & Auto   and reduced duties  on industrial  and value addition, improving  components, and regional supply
              Parts         components and equipment      export quality           chains
              Information &   Lower tariffs on hardware, components,  Strengthens IT hardware exports  Expand into AI solutions, fintech
              Communication   and software; incentives  for digital  and  boosts  software-related  platforms, and IT-enabled exports
              Technology    manufacturing                 services
              (ICT)
              Agro-Processing   Reduced tariffs on  food machinery,  Enhances export value, product  Diversify into processed fruits, halal
              & Food Products   packaging,  and  cold-chain  quality, and food security   foods,  organic  products,  and
                            infrastructure                                         agribusiness exports
              Pharmaceuticals  Elimination of para-tariffs on APIs and  Lowers production  costs  and  Expand exports to Africa and Central
              & Chemicals   intermediates; cheaper import  of lab  improves  product  Asia; diversify into nutraceuticals and
                            and testing equipment         competitiveness          biopharmaceuticals
              Renewable     Duty-free import of solar panels, wind  Promotes clean manufacturing  Develop solar module assembly,
              Energy & Green   components, and green technology  and renewable energy exports   green appliances, and sustainable
              Tech          inputs                                                 tech exports
              Minerals &    Rationalized  tariffs  on  mining  Boosts domestic refining capacity  Move from raw mineral exports to
              Metals        machinery and processing equipment   and value addition   processed copper, marble, and rare
                                                                                   earth materials
              Leather &     Reduced import duties  on tanning  Improves design capability and  Diversify into high-end leather goods,
              Footwear      chemicals and industrial machinery   export competitiveness   sports footwear,  and eco-friendly
                                                                                   products
              Automobile &   Comprehensive tariff rationalization  Enhances  competitiveness,  Expand  into  EV  manufacturing,
              Auto Parts    aligned  with  Auto   Industry  consumer welfare, and export  regional auto parts  exports, and
                            Development and Export Policy (AIDEP)  readiness  of  local  auto  technology-driven  automotive
                            2026–31; includes removal of ACDs/RDs,  manufacturers   production
                            CD reductions, and review of SROs 655,
                            656 & 693 (2006); allows import of used
                            vehicles under environmental standards
             Key Challenges in Implementing the National Tariff Policy (NTP) 2025–30
             The implementation of Pakistan’s National Tariff  Policy (NTP) 2025–30 faces several institutional, structural, and
             economic challenges that may hinder its ability to promote sustainable industrial growth, export diversification, and
             fiscal stability.
                          Area                                              Challenges
                                                                                            capacity may lead to the
                                             decline of local manufacturing sectors unable to compete with cheaper imports.
                                             restrict the ability of local firms to benefit from liberalized trade regimes.
              Fiscal Dependence and Revenue                                                     %—is  expected  to
              Pressure                       shrink fiscal revenues, reducing the government’s ability to fund industrial, export, and
                                             social development programs.
                                                                                                     ng  relevant
                                                                                               reforms.

                                                                                              automobiles, defense,

                                                                                                  storts the tariff
                                                                                             rm credibility.

                                             Insufficient trade and industrial data constrain evidence-based policymaking and weaken
                                             monitoring of policy outcomes.
              External and Global Policy                                                      ds,  where  advanced
              Misalignment                   economies  increasingly  use  tariffs,  subsidies,  and  safeguards  to

                                             pose further risks.
                                                                                               1996 and 2005—did
                                             not enhance exports but widened trade deficits and slowed indust


                                                                                             dvantage over Pakistan
                                             in regional and global markets.
              54    ICMA’s Chartered Management Accountant, Sep-Oct 2025
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